Packers vs 49ers :: The Packers fell behind the Lions, 24-0 at halftime in Week 5 before eventually losing, 31-23. Green Bay has a -33 point differential in the first half this season, 29th in the NFL; meanwhile, San Francisco has the league’s worst first half point differential at -37. 49ers have won two straight games at Lambeau Field, but are just 5-12 there all-time (reg & post). These teams last faced each other in San Francisco in Week 4 of the 2015 season, with Green Bay winning, 17-3 and holding the 49ers to just eight first downs.
The Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers look to put last week’s struggles behind them when they face off at Lambeau Field on Monday Night Football. Aaron Rodgers passed for 442 yards and three TDs last week at Detroit, but Mason Crosby missed five kicks in a 31-23 loss to the Lions. Niners QB C.J. Beathard was solid against the Cardinals, but couldn’t muster enough points in a 28-18 loss.
In the latest Packers vs. 49ers odds, Green Bay is a 9.5-point favorite at home, up from an opening line of 7.5, while the Over-Under, or total number of points expected to be scored, is 46.5. Before you make any Packers vs. 49ers picks, see what SportsLine’s R.J. White has to say.
White was SportsLine’s most profitable NFL analyst last season and returned $100 bettors a profit of nearly $2,000. The renowned prognosticator has also cashed big in the prestigious Las Vegas SuperContest two of the last three years and now turned his eye toward Monday Night Football. In addition, White is an incredible 19-3 mark on spread picks involving the Packers. That includes a perfect 4-0 this season.
Now, White has analyzed 49ers vs. Packers from every angle and locked in a strong point-spread pick. You can only see it at SportsLine.
White knows Rodgers has been dealing with a knee sprain, but looked healthy against the Lions. The Packers would have won had Pro Bowl kicker Mason Crosby not missed an astonishing four field goals and an extra point in a 31-23 loss. The former NFL MVP has 1,572 yards passing with 10 TDs and one INT. Davante Adams has emerged as one of the league’s top receiving threats, hauling in 37 receptions for 425 yards and four scores, ranking in the top 15 in each category.
While Rodgers and the offense remain in the spotlight, the Packers’ defense has held opponents to just 314 yards per game, fourth-fewest in the NFL. The pass defense is allowing just 209 yards, second-fewest, and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix leads the league with three INTs.
Just because Rodgers’ knee is holding up doesn’t mean they’ll cover a sizable spread on Monday Night Football.
The Niners are just 1-4, but they’ve been in every game before turnovers or other key plays doomed their efforts. They actually out-gained the mighty Chiefs in Week 3 but fell 38-27, were nearly even with the Chargers (368-364) in a 29-27 loss, and last week dominated the Cardinals 447-220 but lost by 10.
Beathard has averaged 324 yards in his two games since replacing Jimmy Garoppolo, with four TDs but also four INTs. The Packers have only four INTs in five games, so if Beathard keeps the ball out of the hands of Green Bay defenders, the Niners have proven they can move up and down the field.
The Niners’ defense has held teams to an average of 348 yards per game, 11th fewest in the NFL.
We can tell you White is leaning Over for Packers vs. 49ers, but he’s found a crucial X-factor that causes one side of the spread to hit hard. He’s sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.
When the NFL schedule was released, this game looked like it had the potential to be a marquee matchup of NFC playoff teams. That storyline vanished when San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo was lost for the season in Week 3 with a torn ACL.
So instead the 49ers arrive in Wisconsin with a 1-4 record, and we get the less-inspiring C.J. Beathard vs. Aaron Rodgers quarterback battle. The 49ers can put on a brave face, and Beathard actually moved the ball well last week against Arizona. But in the loaded NFC, starting 1-4 is digging yourself a deep hole.
The Packers (2-2-1) still have plenty of time to make a playoff run, especially with Rodgers playing well. But one of their two wins was thanks to an unlikely fourth-quarter rally in the season opener after they fell behind 20-3 to the Bears. Other than a shutout win over Buffalo at home, Green Bay has been as mediocre as its record.
Aaron Rodgers has been battling a knee injury since the season opener, but you wouldn’t know it by looking at his numbers. Through five games he has thrown 10 touchdowns with just one interception, and he is on pace for what would be his first 5,000-yard passing season. The 49ers haven’t been great against the pass, although their numbers look better after facing rookie Josh Rosen last week. Then again, even while holding Rosen and the Cardinals under 200 yards passing, San Francisco gave up a 75-yard touchdown pass and failed to force a turnover. Rodgers should have a big night.
Injuries are putting the offensive genius of San Franciso head coach Kyle Shanahan to the test. Top back Jerrick McKinnon was lost for the year in preseason; rising star QB Garoppolo lasted less than three games; receiver Marquise Goodwin has been hobbled by a hamstring injury; and running back Matt Breida, who was averaging 7.5 yards per carry, is doubtful for this one with an ankle injury. Despite all that, the Niners did put up 447 yards last week, and Beathard threw for 349. The problem was they also turned it over five times. Seeing as its defense has only three takeaways all season, the San Francisco offense can’r give Rodgers and the Packers that much help.
The schedule dictates that Green Bay must win this game going into its bye week to put itself in position for a playoff run. While there will be 10 games left, the road coming out of the week off looks to be bumpy. The Packers play four of their next five on the road, and all are tough trips: Los Angeles to face the Rams, New England, Seattle (on a Thursday, no less) and Minnesota. If Green Bay can’t getby the beat-up 49ers at home, it’s hard to imagine it surviving that gauntlet.